Tymchuk: 6 000 terrorists are concentrated in the area of Donetsk, probably, the offensive is planned there
6 000 terrorists are concentrated in the area of Donetsk, probably, the offensive is planned there, the people’s deputy and coordinator of the Informational Resistance group Dmitry Tymchuk reported in the comment to the GORDON .
"According to the information available to our group, The Novoazovsk group is the least numerous out of three attack groups. It has 2 500 people. 6 000 people are concentrated in the area of Donetsk, and at least 3 500 people in the area of Lugansk. Based on these figures, a conclusion can be drawn that the Shyrokovo sector is not the main one; it is probable that it is just a distraction whereas the main attack is planned in the area of Donetsk. It is a premature conclusion so far," he said.
According to Tymchuk, it is not going to be easy for the terrorists to seize Mariupol, the city is quite well-prepared.
"The point is that the characteristic feature of the Novoazovsk sector is that, due to the proximity of the Russian border, it is possible to considerably strengthen this group with Russian regular troops and mercenaries and increase its strength by a half or even twice. It is hard to make any conclusions now. I am just wondering what the Russian troops will achieve if there is a large-scale offensive at Mariupol? We perfectly know that Mariupol is fortified quite well. The Secretary of the Council of National Security and Defence inspected its defence in February. The issue of defending Mariupol is raised at the highest level during all meetings. They will not be able to seize it with a frontal attack," the expert reported.
Tymchuk thinks that the terrorists will lack forces to siege Mariupol.
"We can see that there are attempts to push the Ukrainian troops to the north. They are exploring the possibility of attacking along the flanks. However, if they turn from the north, there will be a possibility of a siege. To lay this siege, they will have to control a rather vast sector from the north and from behind Mariupol. We do not think that the terrorists have enough forces now to control such a large area. Theoretically, everything is possible. Moreover, we can see our brave General Staff organize defence at the example of Debaltsevo. So I would not predict any scenarios now. As far as I am concerned, the offensive at Mariupol is quite unlikely, but it cannot be ruled out," Tymchuk summed up.