The ex-head of service of foreign intelligence Nikolay Malomuzh considers that activization of fighters on Donbass happened because real process of peaceful settlement started which did not enter into interests of one of the parties of the conflict. He declared it in the comment to GORDON .
"On Donbass the peace process started, both on tactical, and at the strategic levels. It was expected that it would pass in a Norman format when Putin is not able to manipulate a situation. Formats with participation of the countries of the European Union and the
"In the Russian plans it was expected that after New Year, operations for expansion of zones of control by fighters of "DNR" and "LNR" on strategic points will be performed. It is both
According to Nikolay Malomuzh, social factor has to become the destabilizing element on which
"In view of mobilization and social problems, we should expect the social movement in our state. All this will be imposed on military operations, on acts of terrorism, on diversions, on performances of citizens and will lead to the general destabilization. This is it – the big plan to which
"If a big political process at the level of the world states of the seven, the
According to the expert, fighters will use a situation aggravation to accuse the Ukrainian military of violation of a ceasefire regime and arrangements with fighters.
"For example, on the
"They decided that they need control over the territory approximately on 30–40 km deep in from the existing line of the section. And it is the main strategic objects or the cities, communication centers, the railroad, the main roads around the 29th and 31st checkpoints. These objects are defined as strategic for occupation long time ago, therefore the first blow will be launched just on them. During the activization of firefights the task is set to capture them in order to control a situation, or perhaps to conduct an attack for expansion of borders within Donetsk and Lugansk areas of Ukraine",– the general declared.